Monday Oscar Odds

Full-fledged, extensive Oscar predictions are coming in January, but I’d like to keep a running list of my predicted nominees up until that point, based purely on what we know now and subject to plenty of change. I’ll expand to include other categories later. For this week, I’ll offer revised official predictions for the top eight categories. Predictions will be updated as more awards groups announce. Please chime in the comments with your thoughts!

After the announcements of the Golden Globe and SAG Award nominations last week, we have a much better idea of what things could look like and which contenders might not be as strong anymore. Technical categories will be added soon, and for now, here’s where things stand.


Best Picture
The Artist
The Descendants
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
War Horse

Best Director
Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist)
Alexander Payne (The Descendants)
Martin Scorsese (Hugo)
Steven Spielberg (War Horse)

Best Actor
George Clooney (The Descendants)
Leonardo DiCaprio (J. Edgar)
Jean Dujardin (The Artist)
Ryan Gosling (Drive)
Brad Pitt (Moneyball)

Best Actress
Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
Viola Davis (The Help)
Elizabeth Olsen (Martha Marcy May Marlene)
Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady)
Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)

Best Supporting Actor
Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
Albert Brooks (Drive)
Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
Viggo Mortensen (A Dangerous Method)
Christopher Plummer (Beginners)

Best Supporting Actress
Bérénice Bejo (The Artist)
Jessica Chastain (The Help)
Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
Octavia Spencer (The Help)
Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)

Best Original Screenplay
The Artist
Bridesmaids
50/50
Midnight in Paris
Young Adult

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Descendants
The Help
Moneyball
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
War Horse