Golden Globe Musings: Best Screenplay – Motion Picture

Golden Globe nominations for this year will be announced shortly, so here’s a survey of the contenders and the most likely predictions at this time. Weigh in with your thoughts, and let me know if I’ve left off anything important. A reminder that the Globes are wildly unpredictable and that it is still a bit early to gauge the reception or awards potential of a number of the so-called “contenders” at this point.

Last year’s nominees:
The Favourite
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk
Roma
Vice

The Globes don’t have separate categories for original and adapted screenplays, which means that the buzziest films nominated in the top races often place here, along with a few surprising inclusions every couple of years. Last year, I didn’t expect foreign film “Roma” to make the cut, which suggests that maybe Parasite could show up this year. I suspect that Marriage Story and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood are likeliest to lead this list, with Little Women, The Farewell, Jojo Rabbit, The Two Popes, and Bombshell.

Current predictions:
The Farewell
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood