Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Golden Globe Musings: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical

Golden Globe nominations for this year will be announced in just a few weeks, so here’s a survey of the contenders and the most likely predictions at this time. Weigh in with your thoughts, and let me know if I’ve left off anyone important. A reminder that the Globes are wildly unpredictable and that it is still a bit early to gauge the reception or awards potential of a number of the so-called “contenders” at this point.

Last year’s nominees:
JAVIER BARDEM, VICKY CRISTINA BARCELONA
COLIN FARRELL, IN BRUGES
JAMES FRANCO, PINEAPPLE EXPRESS
BRENDAN GLEESON, IN BRUGES
DUSTIN HOFFMAN, LAST CHANCE HARVEY


This year’s pool:
At the head of the pack is Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine), whose status as an esteemed actor should guarantee some success at the Golden Globes even if the film doesn’t do well elsewhere. Matt Damon (The Informant!) should pick up his third acting nomination for a fun performance, and look for him as a probable double nominee with an accompanying supporting nod for “Invictus.” Despite being an unknown actor, rave reviews should help catapult Michael Stuhlbarg (A Serious Man) to a nomination, provided it’s considered a comedy. If he’s considered a lead and his “Up in the Air” performance is categorized as drama, George Clooney (The Men Who Stare At Goats) might end up here for his sillier performance of the year. Beyond that, it’s hard to say who will fill the remaining slots. Summer hit stars Joseph Gordon-Levitt (500 Days of Summer) and Bradley Cooper (The Hangover) could attract votes, but might be eclipsed by more seasoned actors like Alec Baldwin (It’s Complicated) and Robert DeNiro (Everybody’s Fine). Past nominees Sacha Baron Cohen (Bruno) and Adam Sandler (Funny People) could be lack for lackluster films from this year, and megastar Robert Downey Jr. (Sherlock Holmes) might also receive votes. And Brad Pitt (Inglorious Basterds) could end up here if Quentin Tarantino’s caper makes voters laugh.

Predicted nominees:
ALEC BALDWIN, IT’S COMPLICATED
GEORGE CLOONEY, THE MEN WHO STARE AT GOATS
MATT DAMON, THE INFORMANT!
DANIEL DAY-LEWIS, NINE
MICHAEL STUHLBARG, A SERIOUS MAN

2 comments:

Andrew: Encore Entertainment said...

Up in the Air and Inglorious Basterds are both going in the Drama Category I heard.

Abe Fried-Tanzer said...

That's the assumption under which I was operating. There usually turns out to be some surprise - like Felicity Huffman in drama instead of comedy for "Transamerica" and Alicia Silverstone in drama for "Miss Match" - but I think everything should be set.

The film that could most easily jump to comedy, after "Inglorious Basterds," is "An Education." But I think it will stay as drama. We'll see in a few weeks!