Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe

Welcome to the first 2014 edition of this returning feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week (in this case, the past three weeks). Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, one month at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released October 31-November 14, 2014

Nightcrawler (October 31)
This film looked a bit too bleak and grim for Oscar, but Jake Gyllenhaal’s name has come up as a potential Best Actor contender (my most trusted source, Nathaniel at The Film Experience, is currently predicting him). I’d chalk it up to the same buzz he got for “Prisoners” which panned out to nothing.

Big Hero 6 (November 7)
I have yet to see this animated film, but I hear only great things and it seems like it’s the likeliest challenger to “The Lego Movie” for the Best Animated Feature trophy this year.

Interstellar (November 7)
Christopher Nolan’s last film – “The Dark Knight Rises” – didn’t earn any Oscar love, but the one before that, “Inception,” sure did. This should follow in the latter film’s footsteps, with guaranteed tech nominations and a likely Best Picture bid. Given Nolan’s history of being snubbed, a Best Director bid seems unlikely, but who knows?

The Theory of Everything (November 7)
Eddie Redmayne and Felicity Jones are sure things for their performances as Dr. and Mrs. Stephen Hawking, and this film will also be nominated for Best Picture. Director James Marsh, who won Best Documentary for “Man on Wire” a few years ago, has a good shot, and the film will surely also show up in Best Adapted Screenplay. Best Editing, Best Cinematography, and Best Makeup are possible too.

Beyond the Lights (November 14)
Gugu Mbatha-Raw is having a great year, and it’s possible that she’ll breakthrough for her performance in this film, though competing against herself in “Belle” probably means that she’ll have to wait for a less busy year with just one standout performance.

Foxcatcher (November 14)
Director Bennett Miller has been nominated for both of his previous films, “Capote” and “Moneyball,” both of which also earned Best Picture nominations and two acting nods apiece. That seems about right for this film, which shouldn’t have trouble getting in with an expanded Best Picture field. Miller won’t have as easy a shot but could still make it. Steve Carell is a likely Best Actor nominee, but hardly locked, and Mark Ruffalo has the best shot for his supporting turn over onscreen brother Channing Tatum, who won’t have an easy time breaking into the more crowded Best Actor race.

Rosewater (November 14)
Jon Stewart has won an awful lot of Emmys, so it’s fair to expect that having his name on a film might at the very least pique Oscar voters’ attention. I don’t think the film will be big enough, but he’s a dark horse contender for his reputation and for the film’s subject matter.

Films released June 2014

The Fault in Our Stars (June 6)
Shailene Woodley was nearly an Oscar nominee a few years ago for “The Descendants,” and I’m fully confident that she will be in the future. This film might not be Oscar voters’ tastes, but you can bet that Woodley is going to show up on more than a few ballots.

Obvious Child (June 6)
Jenny Slate is an up-and-coming actress with a proven comedian record, but this film needed to land in a much, much bigger way for her to make it her Oscar debut. A Golden Globe nomination is more realistic, and I’m not so sure that’s guaranteed either.

Snowpiercer (June 27)
I’ve read some buzz about Tilda Swinton being a contender for this film, which I have yet to see, but I don’t think this one is going to place at all, even though it should garner some technical votes. A sci-fi success like this doesn’t tend to be Oscar-friendly.

Begin Again (June 27)
Keira Knightley is everywhere this year, and it makes sense that she might at least earn some Golden Globe attention for her role in this film. Costar Mark Ruffalo, also having a big year, could too, though an Oscar nomination for him is impossible. Director John Carney’s “Once” earned one nomination – and on win – for Best Original Song, and I think this film has the best chance of showing up in that race, possibly with a few nominations.

Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe

Welcome to the first 2014 edition of this returning feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, one month at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released October 24th, 2014

Citizenfour
This documentary, which premiered a few weeks ago at the New York Film Festival, has a buzzy subject going for it: Edward Snowden. Its chances are looking pretty good right now. The official list of eligible films for the Best Documentary Oscar race hasn’t come out yet, and even if this film appears on the narrowed-down list of fifteen later on, there’s no guarantee of it making the cut since even frontrunner status doesn’t mean much these days.

Films released May 2014

The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (March 2)
It looks like I didn’t even include the first film in this reboot series in my Wednesday Oscar Watch back in 2012, but nothing panned out for that film. The first two installments of the Tobey Maguire-led franchise did earn sound and visual effects bids. It’s not a particularly week year for those races, so I doubt this one will get enough votes to show up in any of those categories.

Ida (May 2)
This film, which was reviewed very favorably, is Poland’s official entry for Best Foreign Film. The country has received nine nominations over the years, most recently in 2011 for “In Darkness.” Given that this film was well-received and it’s already out on DVD for plenty of people to see, I’d say its chances are pretty strong.

Godzilla (May 16)
Keep this one in mind for the technical categories since its reviews were decent and this is the original monster movie remade, which could land it on some ballots.

X-Men Days of Future Past (May 23)
None of the X-Men movies to date have received any Oscar nominations, but it’s also worth noting a big superhero picture like this which could easily make an appearance in any of the expected categories: Best Visual Effects, Best Sound, and Best Sound Editing.

Maleficent (May 30)
This fantasy film has a better shot than many at Best Costume Design, Best Art Direction, and Best Makeup/Hairstyling, though I doubt it would pop up in all three. Best Visual Effects is also a possibility.

Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe

Welcome to the first 2014 edition of this returning feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, two months at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released October 17th, 2014

Birdman
All four of director Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu’s previous feature-length films have earned Oscar nominations. This film is a likely Best Picture contender, and expect Inarritu to be up for directing too as he was in 2006 for “Babel.” Michael Keaton is on track to get his first Oscar nomination, and I’d love to see Edward Norton or Emma Stone join him, but I think the cast may be too crowded for favorites to be chosen. Best Original Screenplay is a lock, Best Film Editing is likely, and Best Cinematography and Best Original Score (if the film is eligible) are possibilities too.

Camp X-Ray
This film didn’t go over as well as I expected it to given the reaction it got at Sundance (someone got up and shouted “Bravo! Bravo!” while clapping). That said, I could see Kristen Stewart showing up in the Best Actress – Drama race at the Golden Globes but not making it to the Oscars. It would be nice if Payman Maadi had a shot too, but there’s no chance of that happening.

Fury
War movies don’t always make the cut with Oscar voters, but sometimes they really do. I wouldn’t expect any acting nominations for Brad Pitt or Logan Lerman despite the quality of their performances, but this will likely show up in the Best Sound or Best Sound Editing categories. Could it be a Best Picture contender? I don’t think so, but it’s possible. If it is, look for it as a possibility in Best Film Editing and Best Cinematography, but doubtful anywhere else.

Films released March and April 2014

Mr. Peabody and Sherman (March 7)
This animated film – which I liked a lot – should be up for Best Animated Feature, and I would be severely disappointed if it didn’t make the cut.

The Grand Budapest Hotel (March 7)
Wes Anderson’s latest film is a spoiler for Best Picture, but I think that it will likely go the way of Anderson’s previous film, “Moonrise Kingdom,” which should have been in for Best Picture but ended up with just a Best Original Screenplay bid. Who knows – Oscar voters could get creative and embrace Anderson’s distinctive weirdness!

Muppets Most Wanted (March 21)
The first film took home Best Original Song, and it appears that this sequel has a handful of original tunes that it could submit, any of which have a decent shot at earning a nomination.

Divergent (March 21)
The big popular teen movies don’t always make a mark – “The Hunger Games” series hasn’t scored anything and all eight Harry Potter movies scraped together twelve nominations among all of them – but it’s always possible that a movie like this will break into one of the technical categories just to remind voters that box office and audiences do matter.

Noah (March 28)
Don’t look at the Oscar records for Darren Aronofsky, Russell Crowe, or Jennifer Connelly to help you here. Instead, look out for this film in any of the following: Best Cinematography, Best Art Direction, Best Costume Design, Best Sound, Best Sound Editing, Best Makeup, or Best Visual Effects.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier (April 4)
The first film in the series didn’t merit any mentions but then “The Avengers” snuck into Best Visual Effects. Can this well-received sequel score a bid in that race or either of the sound categories?

Joe (April 11)
It’s not going to happen, but I would be very happy to see Nicolas Cage, an actor who doesn’t usually try too hard these days, rewarded for a top-notch performance in this underseen film. Maybe I can start a campaign? He does have an Oscar win and two nominations under his belt, even if the last one was twelve years ago.

Rio 2 (April 11)
The first film missed out on a Best Animated Feature nomination – as I imagine this one will – but it did score a Best Original Song mention. Given that this sequel apparently has fresh songs in it, it’s worthwhile to watch out for it to make a return appearance.

Fading Gigolo (April 18)
This wasn’t actually directed by Woody Allen – he just stars in it - but John Turturro’s film did earn positive mentions and might score a Best Original Screenplay nomination or pop up at the Golden Globes.

Locke (April 25)
I’m not sure when Tom Hardy is going to earn his first Oscar nomination, but it can’t be far away. If enough people saw it, he could have a shot for his one-man show in this film that finds him driving and talking on a cell phone for an hour and a half. Not likely at all, but it would be a nice and well-deserved surprise.

Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe

Welcome to the first 2014 edition of this returning feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, two months at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released October 3rd-10th, 2014

Gone Girl
This box office hit has proven divisive, but I think that it could still manage a Best Picture mention. Director David Fincher missed out on the top two races last time, for “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo,” but scored with his two previous films in both categories, so he’s a serious contender to return for Best Director and Best Picture. The film’s screenplay seems like a solid bet, and a few technical categories like Best Film Editing aren’t out of the question either. This won’t be Ben Affleck’s shot to earn his first acting nomination, but I think Rosamund Pike has a strong chance as a potential Best Actress nominee.

Whiplash
This film was a hit at Sundance and the New York Film Festival and is going to earn more buzz as more people see it. Miles Teller was a longshot contender last year for “The Spectacular Now,” and he has a much better shot now for his involved performance. The film seems like a very possible Best Picture nominee, and Best Director and Best Original Screenplay (though it’s based on a short film) could follow suit. Its best chance, however, is for the first career nomination for supporting actor J.K. Simmons, who delivers a fierce and fearsome turn as a tyrannical music instructor.

Films released January and February 2014

Gloria (January 17)
Chile’s official submission for Best Foreign Film from last year didn’t pan out, and though I’m not exactly sure, I think that means the film is in contention in all other categories this year. That may have worked years ago for “Y Tu Mama Tambien” and “City of God” a decade ago, but I think that, despite her plethora of international mentions, star Paulina Garcia will manage only to siphon a few votes and not place high enough on enough ballots.

The Lego Movie (February 7)
This crowdpleaser is a lock in two categories – Best Animated Feature and Best Original Song, for the catchy and ridiculous “Everything is Awesome.” It could also factor into the Best Sound or Best Sound Editing race or elsewhere if it ends up being the definitive animated film of the year, which I’m not quite sure it will be by the end of 2014.

The Monuments Men (February 7)
Had this film been released in December as originally planned, it would have been at the forefront of Oscar voters’ minds when they were filling out their ballots. Instead, it came at a highly unmemorable time and didn’t receive the greatest mentions. George Clooney is still a formidable force, but I think this film will ultimately get nothing, but watch out for it to place in the Best Art Direction or Best Costume Design categories.

Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe

Welcome to the latest edition of a seasonal weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section.

Films released December 7th-14th, 2013

American Hustle
David O. Russell’s last two movies made big Oscar splashes, earning Best Picture nominations and a handful of other mentions. Stars Christian Bale and Jennifer Lawrence even took home Oscars for their performances. Lawrence is a lock for the Best Supporting Actress field, and Bradley Cooper is a likely Best Supporting Actor nominee. Christian Bale and Amy Adams will have a harder time breaking into the lead races. In addition to a Best Picture nomination, this film should earn mentions for Best Director, Best Original Screenplay, Best Costume Design, and Best Film Editing mentions are probable too, and a Best Art Direction nod is a possibility. This is sure to be one of the most-nominated Oscar movies of the year.

The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
The “Lord of the Rings” films earned plenty of Oscar nominations and wins, and the first entry of the “Hobbit” trilogy nabbed three nods – Best Art Direction, Best Makeup, and Best Visual Effects. This film get slightly better reviews than the first, and finalist lists have confirmed that it’s eligible for Best Visual Effects but not for Best Makeup. Best Art Direction is a possibility, but I wouldn’t count on it appearing many other places than that.

Inside Llewyn Davis
The Coen brothers have a pretty consistent track record with Oscar voters. Their latest film is set to earn a Best Picture nomination and might factor into the directing and screenplay races. A Best Film Editing mention is probable, and it could also be nominated for Best Cinematography, Best Art Direction, Best Costume Design, and Best Sound. Oscar Issac might have a shot at a Best Actor bid, but that field is very crowded.

Saving Mr. Banks
This Disney production about the making of an Oscar-winning Disney movie is perfect Oscar bait, but its precursor performance hasn’t been entirely strong. Emma Thompson is a sure thing for a Best Actress nomination, while supporting actor Tom Hanks looks like he might find himself snubbed for his portrayal of Walt Disney. A Best Picture nomination is possible, and otherwise this film should figure into the screenplay race and maybe a few technical categories.

Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe

Welcome to the latest edition of a seasonal weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released November 22nd-29th, 2013

The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
The first film in this series didn’t merit any nominations, and though this one received notably better reviews, it’s still not likely. Usually series like this tend to get rewarded for their final installments if at all.

Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
The last Nelson Mandela film, 2009’s “Invictus,” underperformed majorly with Oscar voters, earning just two nominations for performers Morgan Freeman and Matt Damon. The Best Actor field this year is plenty crowded, and though Idris Elba has earned plenty of respect recently, I don’t think he’s going to figure into the race.

Oldboy
This disturbing thriller might have some Oscar potential, but I suspect that it will prove too unsettling for voters. It also didn’t receive tremendous reviews. Director Spike Lee earned his one and only feature film nomination for penning “Do the Right Thing” way back in 1989, and star Josh Brolin was nominated for an acting Oscar in 2008 for “Milk.”

Philomena
Judi Dench is almost automatically an Oscar contender for any film, and this pleasant drama is sure to earn her another nomination. Director Stephen Frears, a two-time nominee, won’t factor into the race, but the film could manage a Best Picture nomination like the one it earned from the International Press Academy. Best Original Score is probably its best other bet.

Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe

Welcome to the latest edition of a seasonal weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, one month at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released November 15th, 2013

Nebraska: I haven’t yet seen this film, but the word is that Bruce Dern is a serious contender for Best Actor. The film comes from director Alexander Payne, who has a great track record with Oscar, with even his less honored films, “Election” and “About Schmidt,” still earning Oscar love, and his bigger hits, “Sideways” and “The Descendants,” netting Best Picture nominations. This film might be more likely to be relegated to its lead actor and its screenplay being recognized, but I’ll have more to say after I have the chance to see it.


Films released September 2013

Enough Said (September 18)
This charming comedy from director Nicole Holofcener seems a good bet for Golden Globe recognition. That will probably be it for lead actress Julia Louis-Dreyfus, but her costar, the late James Gandolfini, has a strong shot at earning a posthumous nomination for his performance in the supporting actor category. It would be nice to see its screenplay honored as well, but I’m not sure that’s likely.

Don Jon (September 27)
Joseph Gordon-Levitt is doing well for himself these days, and his feature directorial debut will probably earn him a third Golden Globe nomination for acting. If the film goes over well with Oscar voters, it might have a slight chance at some love in minor categories, and it’s going to provide a boost for another Globe-honored, Oscar-snubbed performer: Scarlett Johansson, who might also be in the running for “Her.”

Rush (September 27)
Ron Howard has made two movies that have earned Oscar love: 2001’s Best Picture winner “A Beautiful Mind” and 2008’s “Frost/Nixon.” This grand story of two racers could put him back in the running a third time because it’s easy to like, and stars Chris Hemsworth and Daniel Bruhl might also have a shot at nominations for their focused and compelling performances. This should be a lock for Best Cinematography, and a few other technical nominations are probable too.

Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe

Welcome to the latest edition of a seasonal weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, one month at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released November 8th, 2013

About Time
This is the third film directed by Richard Curtis, whose last two efforts, “Pirate Radio” and “Love Actually,” didn’t end up scoring any Oscar attention, despite two Golden Globe nominations for the latter. Curtis’ screenplay for “Four Weddings and a Funeral” did earn him an Oscar nomination back in 1994, but I doubt that this fantasy film will be received quite as warmly by Oscar voters.

The Book Thief
Holocaust movies are always worth considering for Oscars, though I suspect that this one will go the route of “Sarah’s Key,” another recent adaptation of a popular book dealing with children surviving during the Holocaust. Oscar winner Geoffrey Rush and nominee Emily Watson are in the cast, which could help, but I think this one is a stretch for Best Adapted Screenplay, and unlikely to show up anywhere else.

Thor: The Dark World
Marvel movies have a complicated relationship with Oscar. Only Iron Man, Spider-Man, and the Avengers all together have been able to permeate the technical categories. The first “Thor” received nominations from visual effects and costume designers guilds, but no Oscar love, and I presume that the second film will follow suit.

Films released August 2013

The Spectacular Now (August 2)
This Sundance hit is an extreme longshot for its two young stars. Miles Teller’s performance as a cocky alcoholic high school student is terrific, and he would need a huge boost to get nominated. The same is true of Shailene Woodley, who netted a Golden Globe nomination but nothing more for her performance in “The Descendants.” They’ll definitely have their supporters, but I don’t think it will be enough to get them recognized.

Elysium (August 9)
This sci-fi drama wasn’t as well-reviewed as director Neill Blomkamp’s first film, “District 9,” but it’s always worthwhile to consider the chances of the follow-up to a breakout hit like that which scored a Best Picture nomination and three other bids. Technical awards are possible, but this one definitely won’t make the top races.

The Butler (August 16)
Lee Daniels hit it big with “Precious” in 2009, and now he’s back with a well-received decades-spanning epic with plenty of Oscar buzz. Forest Whitaker won an Oscar in 2006 for a much showier performance, but he could be back for his subtler turn. Oprah Winfrey is a much better bet, set to earn her second-ever nomination, and her first in 28 years. The film is a possibility for Best Picture and Best Director, and more likely to be honored for its screenplay and a few technical elements.

Wednesday Oscar Watch

Welcome to the latest edition of a seasonal weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, one month at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released November 1st, 2013

Dallas Buyers Club
Matthew McConaughey was close to an Oscar nomination last year with a handful of strong supporting roles, and having one major part that screams Oscar is almost certain to earn him that recognition this year. Jared Leto may well deservedly latch on to that buzz for his transgender role that meshes well with McConaughey’s performance. The film might also be recognized for its screenplay, and a Best Picture nomination is always possible but unlikely.

Diana
On paper, two-time Oscar nominee Naomi Watts as Princess Diana probably seemed like pure gold. The film flopped, however, and so it’s all but dead in the water. Watts was the only element of her film to be honored last year, so I wouldn’t count her out altogether, especially in the Golden Globes race. Otherwise, this film will probably be forgotten.

Ender’s Game
This adaptation of the popular science fiction novel is a good bet to pop up in the technical races. I’d bet on a Best Visual Effects nomination, and maybe Best Sound and Best Sound Editing as well. Anything beyond that is a stretch.

Last Vegas
This film boasts powerful Oscar names – at least one win each for its four stars – and I assume that it might translate into Golden Globe nominations for Best Actor in a Comedy/Musical. Though Freeman and sometimes De Niro continue to turn in quality performances sometimes, this isn’t one of those cases, and this light comedy isn’t going to make Oscar waves.

Films released July 2013

The Way Way Back (July 5)
This winning comedy from Sundance is sure to please voters, and its best asset is its writer-director team, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash, who took home the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay for “The Descendants” two years ago. I’d love to see Sam Rockwell honored for his hilarious supporting performance, but I doubt that will happen, and this may have to settle for some Golden Globe recognition.

Fruitvale Station (July 12)
This staggering drama from Sundance received excellent reviews, and the only worry is that it may have peaked too early. It could well be an underdog for Best Director Ryan Coogler, and might even merit a Best Picture nomination. If there’s any justice, rising star Michael B. Jordan will be nominated for Best Actor. The film might also earn mentions for its screenplay and for supporting actress Octavia Spencer, who won that trophy two years ago.

Blue Jasmine (July 26)
Woody Allen has a great relationship with Oscar, and though his last film, “To Rome with Love,” wasn’t a winner, his previous movie, “Midnight in Paris,” snagged a Best Picture nomination. Cate Blanchett has earned strong reviews for her layered performance, and she’s a sure thing. A writing nomination for Allen is also likely in order, and that’s probably it for this well-received but off-putting dark comedy.

Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe

Welcome to the latest edition of a seasonal weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, one month at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released October 25th, 2013

The Counselor
This film is at the top of my list to see this weekend, so I’ll be able to offer a better prognosis then. It does have two important names attached to it behind the scenes: screenwriter Cormac McCarthy, author of the novel on which big-time Oscar winner “No Country for Old Men” was based, and Ridley Scott, who earned three nominations for Best Director, one for a film that won Best Picture and the other two for films that weren’t even nominated. Among the cast, Michael Fassbender has a much better shot in “Twelve Years a Slave,” while Cameron Diaz, who vied for an Oscar four times in five years but never made it, might finally join the ranks of three-time nominee and costar Penelope Cruz. One or both of them could pop up, but the film doesn’t seem to have nearly enough support for it to make a showing elsewhere.

Films released June 2013

Man of Steel (June 14)
The last cinematic Superman earned one Oscar nomination back in 2006, for Best Visual Effects. Mixed reviews are going to prevent this one from scoring big in any major categories, but a bid for Best Sound, Best Sound Editing, or Best Makeup isn’t out of the question. This will be director Zack Snyder’s first brush with the Oscars.

The Bling Ring (June 14)
Sofia Coppola has had Oscar success twice, once with a Best Picture nomination and Best Original Screenplay win for “Lost in Translation” and a Best Costumes win for “Marie Antoinette.” This one might be a player for actress Emma Watson, who is likely to be an Oscar winner someday, though I’m not sure this film can take her close enough this year. Maybe a Golden Globe nomination?

Monsters University (June 21)
“Monsters Inc” was one of the nominees the first year of the Best Animated Feature category, and also reaped bids for Best Sound Editing and Best Original Score, plus a win for Best Original Song. I’d say the Best Animated Feature mention is locked up, and another technical nomination or two could be possible.

World War Z (June 21)
Big summer blockbusters don’t often equal Oscar nominations. The epic nature of this film could, however, make it in a competitor in the Best Visual Effects, Best Sound, Best Sound Editing, and Best Makeup races.

Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe

Welcome to the latest edition of a seasonal weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, one month at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released October 18th, 2013

Kill Your Darlings
This film features some terrific performances from the likes of Daniel Radcliffe, Dane DeHaan, Ben Foster, Jack Huston, and Michael C. Hall. Foster has come close to an Oscar nomination before, while Hall has earned TV accolades and Radcliffe is well-known because of the “Harry Potter” franchise. I don’t think any of them will be able to break through, but maybe the film could snag a Best Original Screenplay mention if it’s lucky.

12 Years a Slave
This is possibly the most buzzed-about Oscar contender to be released thus far this year. Count it in for Best Picture, and Steve McQueen in for Best Director. Though neither has managed an Oscar nomination before, Golden Globe nominees Chiwetel Ejiofor and Michael Fassbender should have no trouble getting nominated, while supporting actress Lupita Nyong’o will need to overcome not being well-known in the industry. Best Adapted Screenplay is a lock, and I imagine Best Cinematography, Best Film Editing, and a few other technical mentions will also come.

Films released May 2013

The Iceman (May 3)
Michael Shannon likely won’t be remembered for his midyear performance as a family man and killer, but it’s worth putting him on the map since he did get nominated in 2008 for his small role in “Revolutionary Road” and probably came close in 2011 for “Take Shelter.”

Iron Man 3 (May 3)
Marvel movies don’t tend to fare all too well with the Oscars, but this series does okay. The first and second films scored Best Visual Effects nominations, and the first also got honored for its sound editing. I suspect this one will end up with exactly one nomination, for its visual effects.

The Great Gatsby (May 10)
Baz Luhrmann’s Oscar track record includes an art direction mention for “Romeo and Juliet,” a costume design bid for “Australia,” and wins in both those categories, plus a handful of nominations, including one for Best Picture, for “Moulin Rouge.” This one didn’t go over well with everyone, and so I think art direction, costume design, and maybe cinematography are all that will be recognized this year.

Star Trek Into Darkness (May 17)
J.J. Abrams’ 2009 reboot of this franchise came close to getting nominated for Best Picture and probably should have in its first ten-wide field. The fact that it didn’t means this one won’t either, but it should be able to manage at least a few nominations, likely in the same categories where the first one showed up: visual effects, sound, sound editing, and makeup.

Before Midnight (May 24)
Richard Linklater’s decades-spanning trilogy comes to an end this year with this extremely well-received final installment. The second film, in 2004, earned a Best Adapted Screenplay nomination, and it’s likely that this one will as well.

Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe

Welcome to the latest edition of a seasonal weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, two months at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released October 11th, 2013

Captain Phillips
This movie is on my list to see this coming weekend, and so as soon as I see it, I’ll be able to offer a better prediction of how it might fare. By most accounts, the film is terrific, as is star Tom Hanks. A Best Picture bid might happen, as might one for director Paul Greengrass, but I think that Hanks is the film’s best shot, especially since this will be a big year for him with “Saving Mr. Banks.” A Best Supporting Actor mention for Barkhad Abdi will only happen if the film finds itself very popular with Oscar voters and if it isn’t outshone by late December releases.

Romeo and Juliet
This latest adaptation of the most famous Shakespearean play isn’t going to nab any major awards, but, like the 1996 incarnation, might merit a nomination for Best Art Direction or Best Costumes.

Films released March and April 2013

Oz: The Great and Powerful (March 8)
This “Wizard of Oz” reimagining is a good bet to be nominated for Best Visual Effects, and Best Art Direction and Best Costumes bids are also possible.

42 (Apri1 12)
This well-received cinematic realization of the Jackie Robinson story was looking like it might be an Oscar contender back in April, and Harrison Ford, who has only ever been nominated once, was thrown around as a contender. It could happen, but I think he’ll be forgotten by year’s end.

Oblivion (Apri1 19)
This post-apocalyptic sci-fi film could net a nomination for Best Visual Effects, but I’m not sure that it’s likely.

Mud (April 26)
I’d love to see this film get recognized for all of its terrific components, but I don’t know where it might show up. Matthew McConaughey could be considered a supporting actor, I suppose, since the kids are really the leads, and roles in “Dallas Buyers Club” and “The Wolf of Wall Street” could help bolster him to his first-ever nomination this year. Best Original Screenplay is also a possibility, and, though I think it’s out of the question, a Best Picture bid would be awesome.

Wednesday Oscar Watch

Welcome to the first 2013 edition of this returning feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, two months at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released October 4th, 2013

Gravity
I have yet to see this extremely well-reviewed space drama, but I hear only good things. It’s not typically Oscar’s cup of tea, but they’ll likely make an exception given the players involved. A Best Picture bid seems likely, and Alfonso Cuaron might earn his first Best Director nomination after mentions for his screenwriting in the past. George Clooney and Sandra Bullock, both Oscar winners, aren’t as likely to earn acting nominations, but it’s possible. I’d expect a handful of technical nominations to be sure.

A.C.O.D.
I loved this comedy from Sundance, and it would be really wonderful to see a fresh and original screenplay earn some well-deserved recognition. Adam Scott is a popular actor but seems far away from any Oscar attention, and this feels much more like a Golden Globe hopeful than a true Oscar contender. Richard Jenkins, Catherine O’Hara, and especially Amy Poehler would all be great choices.

Films released January and February 2013

Gangster Squad (January 11)
This movie has plenty of Oscar pedigree going for it, namely two-time Oscar-winner Sean Penn, nominees Nick Nolte, Josh Brolin, and Ryan Gosling, and eventual nominee Emma Stone. Its release date and mostly unenthusiastic reviews all but prohibit a warm Oscar reception, but an art direction or costume design nomination isn’t out of the question.

Warm Bodies (February 1)
It would be wonderful to see this very funny genre parody net a nomination for its adapted screenplay, but I suspect that’s far from reality. I also think that Nicholas Hoult was terrific, though I understand if Oscar voters don’t want to endorse an untraditional film like this one.

Side Effects (February 8)
Director Steven Soderbergh’s rumored last film is unsurprisingly not that, but I think that it was a more intelligent film than many might have expected. Rooney Mara is fresh off an Oscar nomination, Jude Law is a past nominee, and Catherine Zeta-Jones a past winner. If this film had picked up more buzz when it was released, it might have been a contender.

Wednesday Oscar Watch

Welcome to a seasonal weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. I’ve tabled this feature for the last few weeks, so here’s a look back at all of December thus far. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released December 7th-14th, 2012
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
It’s difficult to judge how this new entry in the “Lord of the Rings” saga will fare. The first two films performed well, with thirteen nominations and four wins, and six nominations and two wins, respectively. The third movie won all the trophies for the whole trilogy, taking home awards for all of its eleven nominations. Many will likely feel that the series has been rewarded, and mixed reviews won’t help. A Best Picture nomination isn’t out of the question because of the expanded field, and technical nominations like Best Makeup and Best Visual Effects are all but guaranteed. This is a wild card to be sure.

Hyde Park on Hudson
Bill Murray isn’t the type of actor who can play a renowned President of the United States and have everyone talking. While Daniel Day-Lewis is getting all the attention for his portrayal of Abraham Lincoln, and will almost definitely win the Best Actor Oscar, Murray is being cited mainly for a surprisingly strong performance. A Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical bid is probably as far as he’ll go.

Quartet
In theory, this directorial debut from Oscar favorite actor Dustin Hoffman should be a good threat to earn some nominations, but one single Golden Globe nomination for star Maggie Smith, who will likely earn more buzz for “The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel,” suggests that it won’t ultimately contend. A screenplay based on his own play by Ronald Harwood, who won an Oscar for penning “The Pianist,” may earn some votes, but I’m not sure this can crack a crowded race this year. That said, it is definitely the kind of movie made for Oscar voters.

Wednesday Oscar Watch

Welcome to a seasonal weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, one month at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released November 16th-23rd, 2012

Anna Karenina
This period British epic has all the makings of an Oscar hit, including the third reteaming of director Joe Wright and star Keira Knightley, whose previous features, “Pride and Prejudice” and “Atonement,” have both met with Oscar success. Knightley has plenty of competition in the Best Actress race but may prevail, and the film is likely to do well in the technical categories, namely Best Costume Design, Best Art Direction, and Best Original Score. Best Cinematography and Best Makeup are possible too, and a Best Picture nomination isn’t totally out of the question either.

The Central Park Five
This serious documentary about wrongly convicted rape suspects is a frontrunner for the Best Documentary race, and though that category has left out assumed locks the past few years, it should follow in the footsteps of last year’s similarly-themed and ultimately-nominated “Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory.”

Life of Pi
This visual experience has extraordinary Oscar potential, thanks in no small part to its source material and to its director, Oscar favorite Ang Lee, whose previous two features, “Taking Woodstock” and “Lust, Caution,” didn’t really take. He has his best shot at another Oscar since his last nomination – and win – for “Brokeback Mountain,” and a return to the East should help him considerably. Best Director is extremely likely, and Best Picture shouldn’t be much of a stretch with a widened field. Best Cinematography is the film’s surest get, and Best Art Direction, Best Film Editing, Best Sound, and Best Sound Editing, and Best Visual Effects are all strong possibilities too.

Rise of the Guardians
This inventive animated film stands a good chance to crack the Best Animated Feature race, but its reviews were hardly as positive as a handful of other contenders in the category. Quality doesn’t always equal Oscar, but the movie does have to be well-liked.

Rust and Bone
This Cannes entry from Jacques Audiard, director of the Oscar-nominated “A Prophet,” wasn’t selected by France to compete in the Best Foreign Film race, but it does stand a chance in the Best Actress race for star Marion Cotillard, who won five years ago for “La Vie en Rose” and has done a tremendous job of making herself known to American audiences, most recently in “The Dark Knight Rises.” Her biggest obstacle will be another French actress, Emmanuelle Riva, who is a frontrunner for Michael Haneke’s “Amour.”

The Silver Linings Playbook
This comedic drama from David O. Russell, nominated in 2010 for “The Fighter,” is this year’s best light-hearted bet for Oscar love. Jennifer Lawrence, also a nominee in 2010, is a likely Best Actress nominee, and Robert De Niro may be nominated for the first time in twenty-one years, in the Best Supporting Actor category. Never-nominated Bradley Cooper and yet another 2010 nominee, Australian actress Jacki Weaver, will have equally difficult times getting nominated in crowded acting races. The film is a lock for Best Picture and Best Original Screenplay, and Russell should have a good shot too. Best Film Editing is possible, but it’s unlikely to show up in any other technical category.

Films released September 2012

Arbitrage (September 14)
Richard Gere got rave reviews for this fall drama, but he has an uphill battle. He wasn’t nominated in 1982 for “An Officer and a Gentleman” or in 1990 for “Pretty Woman” despite Golden Globe mentions and Oscar wins for other cast members, and winning a Golden Globe for eventual Best Picture winner “Chicago” couldn’t even get him nominated in 2002. Can this small film finally get the 63-year-old an Oscar nomination after almost forty years in the business? I’m not convinced that it can.

The Master (September 14)
This film about a Scientology-like religion has earned raves for lead actor Joaquin Phoenix and supporting actor Philip Seymour Hoffman, both of whom stand a good chance of being nominated, as well as supporting actress Amy Adams, who may be too. Director Paul Thomas Anderson was a nominee in 2007 for “There Will Be Blood,” and he might be back this year. Best Original Screenplay is a solid bet, while Best Picture, Best Film Editing, Best Cinematography, and Best Art Direction may prove more elusive.

Trouble with the Curve (September 21)
Clint Eastwood hasn’t had a true Oscar hit since “Letters from Iwo Jima” in 2006, with a few acting nominations only since then. This isn’t likely to be his year, as a result both of lackluster reviews and of Eastwood’s performance at the Republican National Convention. He’s traditionally been an Oscar favorite, but I think voters are pretty much done with him now.

Looper (September 28)
This sci-fi success has a shot, if not a strong one, at the three genre-friendly technical categories, Best Visual Effects, Best Sound, and Best Sound Editing. It will just have to depend on what kind of fare they feel like recognizing in those races.

Wednesday Oscar Watch

Welcome to a seasonal weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, one month at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released November 9th, 2012

Lincoln
This blockbuster from Steven Spielberg is sure to go far, especially since he’s coming off of a hit last year, “War Horse,” which managed a Best Picture bid. This year, he’ll have at least one acting nod to go with it, which would be two-time winner Daniel Day-Lewis. Tommy Lee Jones is a good bet in the supporting actor category too, as is Sally Field in the supporting actress race. Spielberg should place in the Best Director race unless backlash emerges later on in Oscar season. Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Original Score, Best Film Editing, Best Cinematography, Best Costume Design, and Best Art Direction are all good bets, in that order.

Skyfall
It would make sense for the latest James Bond hit to contend in the Best Sound, Best Sound Editing, and Best Visual Effects categories, and maybe even the Best Film Editing race. History suggests it won’t happen, however, since the last Bond movie to contend at the Oscars in any category was “For Your Eyes Only,” in 1981. That means the last ten films – almost half the entire franchise – have come up empty. I wouldn’t bet on this one breaking the trend.

Films released August 2012

Total Recall (August 3)
This sci-fi remake didn’t receive terribly favorable reviews, but it’s worth noting that the 1990 original on which this film is based won a special achievement award for Best Visual Effects and received two additional nominations, for Best Sound and Best Sound Editing. I doubt the same will happen this time around.

The Bourne Legacy (August 10)
The Bourne franchise has a somewhat spotty track record with Oscar voters, with the first two films being snubbed altogether and the third winning all three of its technical bids. This fourth, Matt Damon-less entry was the least well-reviewed of the series, and I suspect that its best bet will be a Best Sound Editing nomination, if that.

Hope Springs (August 10)
This summer comedy is on here because it stars Meryl Streep and Tommy Lee Jones, two clear Oscar favorites. Streep won last year and will probably settle for a Golden Globe nomination this time around, and Jones will likely be recognized instead for “Lincoln.” It’s always possible that they could sneak in like Diane Keaton in “Something’s Gotta Give,” but I doubt it.

Compliance (August 17)
This tiny summer thriller earned raves for supporting actress Ann Dowd, who will need to win some precursors in order to scare up enough support for a nomination. I’m not convinced it will happen.

Cosmopolis (August 17)
David Cronenberg’s latest didn’t go over too well upon its release, and it’s not likely to earn much Oscar traction. His previous film, “A Dangerous Method,” nabbed a Golden Globe nomination, and the two before that, “Eastern Promises” and “A History of Violence,” each got an acting nod and the latter also earned a screenplay mention. Those were more normative, mainstream films, however, and I think that’s all Oscar voters can tolerate of Cronenberg.

ParaNorman (August 17)
This animated hit is pretty much a sure thing in the Best Animated Feature category, a race that hasn’t been predictable in the past years.

Robot and Frank (August 17)
This little movie didn’t arrive loudly enough to merit consideration for Frank Langella’s lead performance, but he was a strong contender in 2007 for “Starting out in the Evening” and then a nominee the next year for “Frost/Nixon.” He’s the kind of performer who could make it even if practically no one saw his film.

Wednesday Oscar Watch

Welcome to a returning weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, one months at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released November 2nd, 2012

Flight
Director Robert Zemeckis has had a handful of brushes with Oscar in the past, and only “Forrest Gump” has resulted in a Best Picture and Best Director nod. His actors tend to fare better, and Denzel Washington, who already has two wins and five nominations to his name, has a great shot at a Best Actor bid. Among the supporting cast, John Goodman could end up a nominee, but, not having seen the film yet, I think Denzel will be it.

Wreck-It Ralph
This well-received animated film seems likeable and popular enough to make it into the Best Animated Feature race, which now officially contains twenty-one eligible films. It’s not a sure thing, but it’s about as good a bet as anything else.

Films released July 2012

Ice Age: Continental Drift (July 13)
Only the first “Ice Age” movie was nominated for Best Animated Feature, but this one is officially eligible this year. I wouldn’t count it on, though, since the fourth entry in the series was also the worst-reviewed.

The Dark Knight Rises (July 20)
It’s hard to judge how this film will do with awards since its reception was entirely influenced by the tragic shooting which killed audience members in Colorado at a midnight screening. A Best Picture nod is going to be tough, and acting awards are unlikely. Best Sound, Best Sound Editing, and Best Visual Effects look good, while Best Film Editing, Best Cinematography, Best Art Direction, and Best Makeup could happen too.

Wednesday Oscar Watch

Welcome to a returning weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, two months at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released October 26th, 2012

Cloud Atlas
This wild drama didn’t receive entirely favorable reviews, but it could still be a contender in the visual categories. A Best Picture or Best Director nomination is probably out of the question, but similar spectacle “The Tree of Life” did pull off just that feat last year.

Films released May and June 2012

The Avengers (May 4)
This mega-hit could pull off a Best Picture bid if voters are enthusiastic enough by year’s end. Best Sound, Best Sound, and Best Visual Effects are good bets, though it’s important to note that most of the films that feed into this one didn’t have much luck even in those races.

The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (May 4)
I don’t think this Fox Searchlight release made a big enough splash when it came out, but the pedigree involved is worth mentioning: director John Madden, nominated for “Shakespeare in Love,” and stars Judi Dench, Tom Wilkinson, and Maggie Smith, all of whom have great Oscar track records.

Moonrise Kingdom (May 25)
Wes Anderson has had success in the past with an Oscar nomination for penning “The Royal Tenenbaums” and a Best Animated Feature mention for “Fantastic Mr. Fox.” This well-reviewed film could be a contender for Best Original Screenplay and could also make a play for the Best Picture and Best Director races.

Snow White and the Huntsman (June 1)
It’s most remembered for the affair between director Rupert Sanders and star Kristen Stewart, but this decently-received summer blockbuster could place in the Best Art Direction or Best Makeup categories.

Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted (June 8)
It would make sense that this hit would be a good bet for a Best Animated Feature nomination, but neither of the previous films in the series were nominated, so it’s a toss-up at best.

Prometheus (June 8)
This excellent sci-fi film could come up in a number of technical categories, with Best Visual Effects and Best Sound Editing its best shots. Best Sound, Best Makeup, Best Art Direction, and Best Cinematography are somewhat less likely, but voters might be enthusiastic about this film even if they didn’t love its story elements as much.

Brave (June 22)
Pixar’s latest is easily its worst-reviewed entry aside from “Cars 2,” the only film produced by the studio not to be nominated for an Oscar in any category. While the Best Animated Feature category has been unpredictable recently, I think this one can still make it, and a Best Original Score bid is probable too.

To Rome With Love (June 22)
Woody Allen may still be coasting on some residual love after winning the Best Original Screenplay prize last year for “Midnight in Paris,” but I think a Golden Globe nomination is the best he’ll do for this less highly-regarded comedy.

Take This Waltz (June 29)
This small summer release wasn’t very notable, but Michelle Williams has been doing well with Oscar lately, earning back-to-back Best Actress bids for “Blue Valentine” and “My Week with Marilyn.” Her film will have to get lots of love for her to be remembered come Oscar time.

Wednesday Oscar Watch

Welcome to the first 2012 edition of this returning feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, two months at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released October 19th, 2012

The Sessions
This drama is garnering praise for John Hawkes, who was nominated for his supporting turn in “Winter’s Bone” in 2010. His performance is a good bet for a nomination, and less certain is costar Helen Hunt, who won an Oscar for “As Good As It Gets” in 1997 but hasn’t been seen on the awards circuit since. She has an outside shot, but Hawkes is a much better bet.

Films released March and April 2012

The Lorax (March 2) and The Pirates! A Band of Misfits (April 27)
These two films are contenders, at least for now, in the Best Animated Feature race, which has become increasingly hard to predict recently. I’d say the former has a decent shot, and I wouldn’t count on the latter.

Detachment (March 16)
Adrien Brody was terrific in this sobering drama, from director Tony Kaye, whose lead actor Edward Norton was nominated for “American History X” over a decade ago. This film didn’t get enough attention to muster awards placement, though it would be nice if it was remembered for its lead performance or its sharp directing and writing.

The Hunger Games (March 23)
This mega-hit is the kind of movie that could make it to the expanded Best Picture field, though “Star Trek” and “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 2” not making the cut suggests that there isn’t room for blockbusters like this. It will probably fare better in the technical categories – sound and visual effects nods are within the realm of possibility.

Bernie (April 27)
This film will likely be entirely forgotten by Oscar time (if not already), but Jack Black may garner some votes for his energetic performance as the murderous title character.

Wednesday Oscar Watch

Welcome to the first 2012 edition of this returning feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. It’s a bit early to be able to accurately predict the eventual Oscar nominees, but around this time, plenty of likely contenders are being released. I’ll be looking every Wednesday at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Additionally, to make up for lost time, I’ll also be taking a look at the films released earlier in the year, two months at a time. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, if I’ve missed any films from the previous months, please say so!

Films released October 5th – October 12th, 2012

Argo
This thriller based on real events made back nearly its whole budget in its opening weekend and has received strong reviews all around. Its October release is perfectly in line with the last two films directed by Ben Affleck, “Gone Baby Gone” and “The Town,” both of which received exactly one Oscar nomination for supporting performances. At this rate, and with an expanded Best Picture field, this film many fare better, though I wouldn’t expect any acting accolades. A Best Picture bid is probably its best bet, and maybe a writing or editing nomination as well.

Butter
This comedy didn’t win over audiences, but Jennifer Garner could still be a contender for her first-ever Golden Globe film nomination.

Frankenweenie
This children’s horror comedy, which has proven very popular, is a shoo-in for the Best Animated Feature category, a race that has been temperamental in recent years but should have no trouble finding a place this year.

Wuthering Heights
This UK-produced epic from Andrea Arnold, director of “Fish Tank” and an Oscar winner for producing the short film “Wasp” is probably too small and independent to earn attention, but its visual elements just might.

Films released January and February 2012

Haywire (January 20)
This action film from Steven Soderbergh had plenty of buzz at this time last year, but I think a January release won’t enable it to remain present in voters’ minds.