Golden Globe Musings: Best Screenplay – Motion Picture

Golden Globe nominations for this year will be announced in just a few weeks, so here’s a survey of the contenders and the most likely predictions at this time. Weigh in with your thoughts, and let me know if I’ve left off anything important. A reminder that the Globes are wildly unpredictable and that it is still a bit early to gauge the reception or awards potential of a number of the so-called “contenders” at this point.

Last year’s nominees:
Hell or High Water
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
Nocturnal Animals

This category aggregates original and adapted scripts, tending towards the more story-driven films. Something like Dunkirk probably won’t make the cut, while The Shape of Water, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, and The Post seem like very good bets. I’m not sure about Call Me By Your Name, Get Out, or The Florida Project, whereas Lady Bird and The Big Sick could show up in their place. Mudbound, Darkest Hour, or even Last Flag Flying might also score a spot.

Current predictions:
The Big Sick
Lady Bird
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri