Oscar Winner Predictions: Best Actor in a Supporting Role

The nominees:
CASEY AFFLECK, THE ASSASSINATION OF JESSE JAMES
PHILIP SEYMOUR HOFFMAN, CHARLIE WILSON’S WAR
HAL HOLBROOK, INTO THE WILD
TOM WILKINSON, MICHAEL CLAYTON
JAVIER BARDEM, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN

My ballot: 2/5, Affleck and Bardem
Who should win: Affleck or Bardem
Who will win: This would appear to be Bardem, though both Affleck and Holbrook have a shot, for different reasons. Affleck has lost out on pretty much every major trophy to Bardem so this could be his chance to shine, but I see no sign of “No Country for Old Men” lagging so I find that unlikely. As far as Holbrook goes, he is 82 and may well get a career tribute Oscar, but I feel like that is much for likely for Ruby Dee in the Supporting Actress category.