Tuesday, December 13, 2016

SAG Predictions: Best Actor in a Leading Role

Last year’s nominees: Bryan Cranston (Trumbo), Johnny Depp (Black Mass), Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant), Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs), Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)

The rundown: Last year, SAG was earlier than the Globes with its nominations announcement and therefore dropped the bombshell of Matt Damon being snubbed and Bryan Cranston being confirmed as strong, instead choosing Johnny Depp, who would go on to miss out on an Oscar nomination. So the question this year is whether SAG voters will reinforce enthusiasm for Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic) or Joel Edgerton (Loving), and whether they will choose to honor Tom Hanks (Sully), the biggest snub from the Globes’ list. Count on Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea) and Ryan Gosling (La La Land), though I wouldn’t be as sure of Denzel Washington (Fences) even though I do think he’ll get in. An inclusion like Hugh Grant (Florence Foster Jenkins) would be shocking but not so crazy given Globe voters’ enthusiasm for the film. I’m torn on whether Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw Ridge) will make the cut and whether he’ll show up here instead for “Silence,” which was shut out by the Globes.

Current predictions: Affleck, Gosling, Hanks, Edgerton, Washington

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