SAG Predictions: Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Last year’s nominees: Rooney Mara (Carol), Rachel McAdams (Spotlight), Helen Mirren (Trumbo), Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl), Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)

The rundown: Last year, this category introduced us to a new eventual Oscar nominee, McAdams, before swapping out Mirren for Globe nominee Jennifer Jason Leigh for the Oscar list. Of the Globes’ picks, I think that Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures) is the most vulnerable, though it’s not clear who would take her place. I think that Viola Davis (Fences), Naomie Harris (Moonlight), Nicole Kidman (Lion), and Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea), are all very likely to get in without a problem. Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women) probably poses the biggest threat, and I’m honestly not sure who else would show up.

Current predictions: Davis, Gerwig, Harris, Kidman, Williams