The competition: “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”, “4 Months, 3 Weeks, and 2 Days”, The Kite Runner”, “Lust, Caution”, and “Persepolis”.
For your information: Last year, an American director won for a film in a foreign language. “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly” is in pretty much the same boat as “Letters from Iwo Jima”.
Who should win: I have not yet seen “4 Months” or “Persepolis”, but out of the other three, “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly” reigns supreme.
Who will win: Based on those stats from last year, I would say that The Diving Bell and the Butterflywill definitely win this one.