My predictions: 3/5, missing "Michael Clayton" and "There Will Be Blood" for "Into the Wild" and "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly".
Alas, I guess there were too many contenders here. Great success story for "Atonement", though too bad for this year's best Oscar-friendly film "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly". Also interesting that "Atonement" is the one to miss out on Best Director when usually it would be "Juno" or "Michael Clayton". Anyway, this is sure to be an interesting race where all but "Michael Clayton" can pull off a win. That's it for now, more analysis and thoughts coming much later today.
My current bet to win: "Juno"