The competition: Casey Affleck’s devoted right-hand man in “The Assassination of Jesse James”, Philip Seymour Hoffman’s sarcastic CIA agent in “Charlie Wilson’s War”, John Travolta’s overweight mother in “Hairspray”, Tom Wilkinson’s paranoid executive in “Michael Clayton”, and Javier Bardem’s psychopathic killer in “No Country for Old Men”.
For your information: Travolta has five previous nominations and one win. Bardem has two previous nominations, while Wilkinson and Hoffman have one apiece. Hoffman won with that nomination, and has another nomination this year to boot. This is Affleck’s nomination.
Who should win: Another insanely tough call, this time between Affleck and Bardem, each equally good but so different. If I was forced to choose, I would say Bardem.
Who will win: Globe voters will likely face the same dilemma, and the outcome should be the same: Bardem. Though it could just as easily go to Affleck, but his film lacks the same support.