This year, Oscar nominations will be announced on Tuesday, January 24th. I’ll be offering detailed predictions in most of the major categories, saving some of the biggest categories for last.
Last year’s nominees: Mad Max: Fury Road, The Revenant, The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared
This year’s locks: Deadpool, Florence Foster Jenkins
Very likely: None
Possible: Hail Caesar, A Man Called Ove, The Dressmaker, Star Trek Beyond, Suicide Squad
The rundown: There’s less mystery to this category since the field has already been narrowed down to seven contenders, three of which will be nominated. This category has often surprised with nominees like “Norbit” and “Il Divo,” and last year’s “The 100-Year-Old-Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared, while sure things like “Hugo,” “Lincoln,” and “American Hustle” have been snubbed in the past. Interestingly, unlike all the other technical categories this year, this race contains only one Best Picture contender – a very distant one - Deadpool, which is all but certain to place here. Florence Foster Jenkins and Hail Caesar seem like the easy choices for slots two and three, but things are rarely that simple. Foreign contender A Man Called Ove might surprise, as could The Dressmaker. I wouldn’t count on Star Trek Beyond since “Star Trek Into Darkness” didn’t make the cut, though of course that doesn’t mean much, and I don’t feel like Suicide Squad is regarded highly enough to earn votes, even in this race.
Forecasted winner: It’s crazy to say it, but I think it might be Deadpool.