Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Oscar Predictions: Best Original Screenplay

Last year’s nominees: Frozen River, Happy-Go-Lucky, In Bruges, Milk, Wall-E

This year’s locks: Inglourious Basterds, Up, The Hurt Locker

Very likely: A Serious Man

Possible: Avatar, 500 Days of Summer, The Messenger, The Hangover, It’s Complicated, Bright Star

The rundown: The question here is whether two comedies – “500 Days of Summer” and “The Hangover” – can break through and get recognized when, in the past, lighter films like “The 40-Year-Old Virgin,” “Knocked Up,” and “Garden State” have all been snubbed. Both of the former films, however, did score nominations for Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical at the Golden Globes (one even won!), which the latter three did not do. Still, I think they’ll lose out to the juggernaut that should dominate the nominees, and that’s “Avatar,” which most people don’t think will get mentioned since “Titanic” wasn’t way back when. I’m a bit worried about “A Serious Man” here, though hopefully it should be safe and sound. Also – watch out for “The Messenger,” the little film that might.

Forecasted winner: Inglourious Basterds

2 comments:

G1000 said...

It's very unlikely that "Duplicity" will score a nod, isn't it? Fortunately, the much more prestigious G Awards will recognize Tony Gilory's brilliant script.

Abe Fried-Tanzer said...

Hey, that's the great thing about having your own awards. You can recognize the movies that really deserve it. Though as far as "Duplicity" is concerned, it came from out of nowhere to score Julia Roberts a nod, so you never know.