Wednesday, January 8, 2020

Oscar Predictions: Best Costume Design

This year, Oscar nominations will be announced on Monday, January 13th. I’ll be offering detailed predictions in most of the major categories.

Last year’s nominees: The Ballad of Buster Scruggs, Black Panther, The Favourite, Mary Poppins Returns, Mary Queen of Scots

My choices: Coming next week!

This year’s locks: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Very likely: Little Women

Possible: Dolemite Is My Name, Downton Abbey, Hustlers, Rocketman, Knives Out, Judy, Joker, Jojo Rabbit, Aladdin, Ford v Ferrari, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

Unlikely: Cats

The rundown: This category has some solid frontrunners, and most of them are among the fifteen nominees recognized in three separate races – contemporary, period, and sci-fi/fantasy – by the Costume Designers’ Guild. Period nominees Dolemite Is My Name, Downton Abbey, Jojo Rabbit, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, and Rocketman all stand a good chance. Aladdin is the only one of the sci-fi/fantasy nominees with a decent shot, while, from the contemporary list, Hustlers seems likeliest, with Mr. Rogers’ signature sweater in A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood possible too. It’s unwise to predict that Little Women will miss, but after it didn’t show up among the CDG nominees, I’m worried the same fate will befall it as did “If Beale Street Could Talk” last year. Judy and Ford v Ferrari could also place, and I’m pretty sure that Cats is out of the race at this point.

One possible crazy scenario: It was nominated by the CDG, but Queen and Slim has ended up being so out of the awards conversation at this point that a mention for this weird but visually wondrous film would be unexpected.

Forecasted winner: If it can get nominated, I actually see this going to Dolemite Is My Name.

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