Friday, December 18, 2009

Movie with Abe: Nine

Nine
Directed by Rob Marshall
Released December 18, 2009

There’s something awfully familiar about “Nine.” Like director Rob Marshall’s 2002 hit “Chicago,” it exists in a world where seemingly powerful men are actually almost invisible and a whole host of women dominate their lives. Like the 1979 film “All That Jazz,” it tells the story of an aging, revered director who watches as he is hopeless to direct the show of his life, which is sung at him by all the people he used to know and who he helped to create. His work is out of his hands, and that’s a fascinating thing to see. The fact that it’s been seen before isn’t a real problem, but the film is hardly as cohesively strong as some of its musical numbers.

There are indisputably several great scenes in “Nine.” Each spotlights one performer, to the point that it feels disjointed since the powerless Guido (Daniel Day-Lewis) is the only one present in almost all of them. It’s the story of Guido’s past and present splintered into the women – his mother, his wife, his mistress, his lead actress, his costume designer – who have defined his life. It’s made implicitly clear that the musical numbers are to be taken as Guido imagining and visualizing the moments in his life, as they are interspersed with scenes of actual events, where only in his head is Guido actually singing away at hounding reporters or serenading one of his beloved ladies in a moment of anguish. The ensemble of dancers is absolutely impressive, but all of the singing actresses seem woefully unaware of each other because they aren’t really given a chance to interact, only to alternate places in the mind of their maestro.

The actresses, however, still bring down the house, each in their own show-stopping numbers representing the many faces of Guido, with the help of a spectacular soundtrack. Penelope Cruz delights and charms as Guido’s over-the-top mistress, and “A Call to The Vatican” is a terrific number that introduces audiences to her life of excess and relationship to the esteemed director. Judi Dench, seen as Guido’s mentor throughout the film, commands the screen in the entertaining “Folies Bergère,” where she reminds Guido of his initial delight at the world of entertainment. Fergie is fierce and fantastic as a seductress who sings “Be Italian” and stresses the unique appeal of Italians. Kate Hudson is the lone American, but still sparkles as a journalist that sings “Cinema Italiano,” a great addition written for the film. And Marion Cotillard ("La Vie en Rose")croons a lovely ode to her loneliness as Guido’s long-suffering wife, “My Husband Makes Movies.” Sophia Loren and Nicole Kidman round out a top-notch cast that shines individually but isn’t given much opportunity to interact.

Among all of the ladies, there is powerhouse actor Daniel Day-Lewis as Guido. While it’s hardly a performance worthy of comparison to his roles in “Gangs of New York” or “There Will Be Blood,” it’s nonetheless an impressive transformation into this Italian director so obsessed with himself that he doesn’t even have any idea what to do next. But, like the rest of the film, the most extraordinary moments for Day-Lewis come when he is singing, particularly the early number “Guido’s Song.” The film certainly contains endearing visuals of Italy, but it’s when everyone breaks out into song that the film really scores, and the rest just can’t quite live up to that.

B

Thursday, December 17, 2009

SAG Nominees: Best Ensemble in a Motion Picture

My predictions: 3/5, missing “An Education” and “Precious
Not nominated for Best Picture at the Golden Globes: “An Education
Who’s missing: “Up in the Air

The most shocking snub of all – “Up in the Air,” which earned the most individual performance nominations of any film, isn’t considered to have one of the best ensembles of the year. Director Jason Reitman’s last film, “Juno,” wasn’t nominated here either, though, so it’s just another senseless omission that shouldn’t mean much for the Oscars. This is wonderful news for An Education, however, which couldn’t earn Alfred Molina an individual nomination but is able to recognize the stellar cast, which includes Peter Sarsgaard and Dominic Cooper. The Hurt Locker stars lesser-known actors, and it’s great that it’s here, in addition to the magnificent ensemble of Inglorious Basterds. All of the singing and dancing paid off for the actresses in Nine, as they and Daniel Day-Lewis join nominee Penelope Cruz in this category. The fifth nominee is about of a disappointment, since there were far better ensembles out there than the cast of Precious, though it is a good way to acknowledge the contributions of Mariah Carey and Paula Patton without affording them undeserving supporting slots.

Who could win? The likeliest best is probably Nine, though it could also be either “The Hurt Locker” or “Inglorious Basterds,” or either “Precious” if voters are feeling especially affectionate towards that film.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? This category sometimes predicts Best Picture and sometimes doesn’t (5/5 in 2001, 1/5 in 2007). It’s definitely a good thing for “An Education” and “Precious,” whereas it doesn’t necessarily mean anything for “Nine” (“Hairspray” was nominated in 2007 before getting shut out at the Oscars), and the other two don’t need any help. As mentioned previously, it shouldn’t hurt the chances of “Up in the Air.”

SAG Nominees: Best Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

My predictions: 4/5, missing Kruger
Not nominated at the Golden Globes:Kruger
Who’s missing: Julianne Moore (A Single Man), Samantha Morton (The Messenger)

Here’s where we get the huge surprise inclusion: Diane Kruger (Inglorious Basterds). She was good in the film, sure, though hardly as deserving as French costar Melanie Laurent. It’s a fun inclusion, I suppose, but not at the expense of Julianne Moore, whose snub I predicted, though I had a different actress replacing her. The other four are looking good. Both Anna Kendrick and Vera Farmiga (Up in the Air) made it in despite the shocking snub of their film in the Best Ensemble category. Penelope Cruz (Nine) is the sole performer from her film with a nomination here, though the entire cast is up for Best Ensemble. Rounding out the group is Mo’Nique (Precious), whose nomination is hardly surprising.

Who could win? It won’t be Kruger, but otherwise it’s up for grabs. I’d guess Kendrick.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? Not good news for poor Julianne Moore, but it doesn’t exactly make Kruger a contender, especially considering the appearance of non-starters like Catherine Keener (Into the Wild) and Cloris Leachman (Spanglish) here in past years. I think the lineup could still be the same as the Globes, and Farmiga is certainly a much safer bet now with both Globe and SAG mentions.

SAG Nominees: Best Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

My predictions: 4/5, missing Plummer
Not nominated at the Golden Globes: No one
Who’s missing: Alfred Molina (An Education)

I was right to sub Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones) back in, but wrong to underestimate Christopher Plummer (The Last Station), who should finally get recognition for a career spanning over forty years (“The Sound of Music” came out in 1965). On top of his Globe snub, Alfred Molina’s chances probably aren’t looking good at this point since none of these nominees are weak or likely to fall out to make room for him on the Oscar list. Woody Harrelson (The Messenger) is going strong, even though my hunch about his film earning four nominations didn’t pan out at all. Matt Damon (Invictus) is now looking to be a sure thing, while frontrunner Christoph Waltz (Inglorious Basterds) has yet another awards mention to add to his tally.

Who could win? I’m thinking Waltz, though this could be a great opportunity to honor either Plummer or Harrelson.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? This is the exact Globe lineup, and I don’t see why this same group won’t repeat at the Oscars. Do you agree?

SAG Nominees: Best Actress in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture

My predictions: 4/5, missing Bullock
Not nominated at the Golden Globes: No one
Who’s missing: Emily Blunt (The Young Victoria), Abbie Cornish (Bright Star)

It looks like Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side) is actually going to ride this one out. I still have yet to see the film, but I’m planning to go tomorrow, and then hopefully I’ll be able to tell myself that it’s actually a good performance deserving of a nomination. With Bullock included, it looks like Emily Blunt is the odd Globe Drama nominee left out, along with poor Abbie Cornish. Transplanted from the Globe Drama lineup are Helen Mirren (The Last Station), Carey Mulligan (An Education), and Gabourey Sidibe (Precious), whose name elicited cheers from the audience when it was announced this morning. Rounding out the list is last year’s champ Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia), on her seventh solo SAG nomination.

Who could win? This will likely be Mulligan.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? This just solidifies this lineup for the long haul, and it’s up to Cornish or Blunt to bump out the weaker links, which would be Mirren and Bullock.

SAG Nominees: Best Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture

My predictions: 4/5, missing Renner
Not nominated at the Golden Globes: Renner
Who’s missing: Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine), Tobey Maguire (Brothers), Ben Foster (The Messenger), Hal Holbrook (That Evening Sun)

This is what the Oscar lineup will probably look like, and the fact that fellow actors endorsed Golden Globe snubbee Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker) means his spot just got a whole lot more secure. The other four weren’t surprises – Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart), George Clooney (Up in the Air), Colin Firth (A Single Man), and Morgan Freeman (Invictus). It’s also worth noting that only one of these men is also nominated in the Best Ensemble category, and that’s Renner.

Who could win? Who knows? Maybe Bridges, but I’ll go with Freeman here.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? Good news for Renner; just another indicator that this category is pretty locked up.

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Final SAG Predictions

I’m making approximately one change per category here based on the Golden Globe nominations, which don’t necessarily have much to do with SAG, but still got me thinking. Asterisked categories have modified predictions. I’m taking out Abbie Cornish and replacing her with Emily Blunt, though it could easily be Sandra Bullock or (fingers crossed) Tilda Swinton. I’m not so sure about Best Supporting Actor, and I think that Alfred Molina, who missed out on a Globe and later Oscar nod in 2002 but did score a SAG nomination, will be here and someone else won’t. I’m not sure who that will be, but let’s say Christopher Plummer for the moment. I’ve been racking my brain trying to figure out who will fill the fifth slots in the lead actor and ensemble category, and I have a somewhat wild hunch, which is that “The Messenger” will end up with four nominations, making a big showing in the same surprising way that films like “Into the Wild” and especially “The Station Agent” have done in the past. Best Actor is most unpredictable, since Jeremy Renner’s Globe snub indicates he’s not well known enough, and I can’t imagine Tobey Maguire showing up here. We’ll see what happens – come back tomorrow morning for analysis of the nominees, one category per hour.

Best Male Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture*
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Ben Foster, The Messenger
Morgan Freeman, Invictus

Best Female Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture*
Emily Blunt, The Young Victoria
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia

Best Male Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture*
Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Alfred Molina, An Education
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz, Inglorious Basterds

Best Female Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Mo’Nique, Precious
Samantha Morton, The Messenger

Best Ensemble in a Motion Picture*
The Hurt Locker
Inglorious Basterds
The Messenger
Nine
Up in the Air

Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe

Welcome to a new weekly feature here at Movies with Abe, Wednesday Oscar Watch with Abe. Every Wednesday, I’m taking a look at the awards chances for all of the films released the previous week. Chime in with your thoughts on the Oscar chances for these films in the comments section. Also, don't forget to check out the Golden Globe nominations, announced yesterday.

Invictus
Clint Eastwood making a film about Nelson Mandela starring Morgan Freeman is a good way to drum up Oscar buzz. The Golden Globes yesterday snubbed the film for their top prize but still nominated Eastwood, Freeman, and supporting actor Matt Damon. They all seem quite likely to earn Oscar nominations, and the film should be able to get in with an expanded field of ten nominees which likely won’t include some of the Globe comedy nominees, like “It’s Complicated” and “Julie & Julia.” Eastwood has had three films nominated for Best Picture this decade – “Mystic River,” “Million Dollar Baby” (winner), and “Letters from Iwo Jima.” Expect him to add another film to the list this year. He also directed Angelina Jolie to an Oscar nomination for “Changeling” last year. It helps that “Invictus” is truly terrific as a film, and should also contend for Best Film Editing and Best Adapted Screenplay.

A Single Man
One of the only solid “A” films I’ve seen this year should be set for at least one category at the Oscars, and that’s Best Actor, where a completely reinvented Colin Firth should have no problem getting nominated and maybe even winning. Hopes are high for costar Julianne Moore, whose flawless British accent should impress voters. I’m rooting for composer Abel Krozeniowski, and his Golden Globe nomination should help him along. The film should hopefully also earn nominations for Best Cinematography and Best Art Direction, and maybe even Best Makeup or Best Film Editing. Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Director, and Best Picture are probably long shots, in descending order of likelihood. I’d love to see it everywhere, though I’m very confident that it will get several technical nominations and recognition for its two fabulous leads.

The Lovely Bones
This film is no longer a serious Best Picture contender after receiving generally negative reviews, but that doesn’t mean it’s out of the race completely. Never-nominated Stanley Tucci earned a Golden Globe nomination for his performance as a cold-blooded killer, and should be able to establish himself as the best part of the film and get nominated. Young lead actress Saoirse Ronan is an Oscar nominee already, and may well earn a second nomination if voters really like her performance. The film’s stunning visuals annoy as many as they astonish, and therefore the movie might be able to get nominations for Best Cinematography and Best Art Direction, but don’t bet on either one too much.

Don’t expect any kudos for The Slammin’ Salmon or a film starring Russell Crowe that you’ve never heard of, Tenderness. That’s it for notable films released this past week. There are only a couple of weeks in the year left! Come back every Wednesday for an analysis of the previous Friday’s theatrical releases and their Oscar chances. Thanks for reading!

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Golden Globe Nominees: Best Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical

My predictions: 3/5, missing “500 Days of Summer” and “The Hangover”
Who’s missing: “A Serious Man

So much for my theory that 500 Days of Summer and The Hangover wouldn’t be legitimate contenders. I guess it’s good to just have fun every once in a while, and I think that a loosening up of members is a positive thing. What’s completely inexplicable is the snub of “A Serious Man,” especially after the Coen Brothers’ much inferior “Burn After Reading” was nominated last year and star Michael Stuhlbarg made it in for Best Actor. It’s puzzling and unfortunate, but hopefully it will still be able to earn a Best Picture nod at the Oscars. The other three nominees aren’t much of a surprise: one film starring lots of ladies, Nine, and two films starring the same lady, It’s Complicated and Julie & Julia. I still have yet to see two of these films, but I’ll make sure to watch them soon in order to have a better perspective on this category.

Who could win? I think that Nine is the clear frontrunner.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? It’s devastating for “A Serious Man,” which has now fallen behind “Avatar” as one of the films fighting for the tenth slot. “Nine” is in good shape, and this is helpful for “500 Days of Summer” and “The Hangover,” both of which probably won’t contend but might have a chance now.

Golden Globe Nominees: Best Motion Picture – Drama

My predictions: 3/5, missing “Avatar” and “Inglorious Basterds
Who’s missing: “An Education,” “Invictus

The two nominees I missed were exactly the same ones I underestimated in the Best Director field. I have yet to see Avatar (soon, I hope) and Inglorious Basterds is my favorite film of the year. The Hurt Locker and Up in the Air both did very well with Globe nominations, and are both looking good to potentially win. Precious managed to sneak in here despite being left off both the director and screenplay lists. What’s appalling is that "Invictus" isn’t here, especially when both of its stars and director Clint Eastwood were nominated. That’s not a death sentence for the movie, because “Milk” wasn’t honored at the Globes last year and ended up with a Best Picture nomination, and in both 2005 and 1999, three of the eventual Oscar nominees didn’t earn Globe nods for Best Picture. Also, Eastwood has already directed three Best Pictures this decade and should be well on his way to having a fourth join that club. Regarding the films that are in this list, I’m happy to say that three of them are currently in my top five, so I’m generally pleased.

Who could win? My current bet is The Hurt Locker, though it could just as easily go to “Up in the Air.”
What does this mean for the Oscar race? Not great news for “Invictus,” but not terrible, and a good boost for both “Avatar” and “Precious.”

Golden Globe Nominees: Best Director – Motion Picture

My predictions: 3/5, missing James Cameron and Quentin Tarantino
Who’s missing: Rob Marshall (Nine), Lee Daniels (Precious)

This is quite the list of directors. I really need to get out and see “Avatar” since this is James Cameron’s first nomination since he won for “Titanic,” and buzz for his latest film is insanely strong. It’s also terrific that Quentin Tarantino (Inglorious Basterds) is being recognized for his fantastic feature, earning his first nomination since “Pulp Fiction” back in 1994. Despite his Oscar nomination for helming “Juno,” this is actually the first Globe nod for Jason Reitman (Up in the Air) and also for Kathryn Bigelow (The Hurt Locker), who becomes (I think) the fourth woman to earn a nomination in this category (Barbra Streisand is the only winner, for “Yentl” in 1983). The final nominee is a veteran, with six nominations and three wins in this category, and that is Clint Eastwood (Invictus). Interesting to note that “Invictus” was snubbed in the Best Picture category, though Eastwood received two nominations in this category without a Best Picture nod for either in 2006, and directors like Steven Spielberg, who got in here but not in Best Picture in 2005 for “Munich,” have ended up with Oscar nominations down the road.

Who could win? I think it’s going to be a historic win: Kathryn Bigelow.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? It’s good news for everyone nominated, and they could easily make up the Oscar list. It’s bad for “Nine” and director Rob Marshall, who may just have been knocked out of the race. The Oscars usually offer a fifth nominee without a corresponding Best Picture nomination, so there’s still a chance for some other directors to break into the pack.

Golden Globe Nominees: Best Animated Film

My predictions: 5/5
Who’s missing: “Ponyo,” “9,” “Monsters vs. Aliens”

This is one of the two categories in which I correctly predicted all five nominees, along with Best Actress in a TV Series – Drama. I still have to rent Coraline on DVD and see The Princess and the Frog in theatres, but otherwise, I’m happy. While I’m sad that the real best animated film of the year, “9,” isn’t catching on, I do think that Up, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs, and Fantastic Mr. Fox were all great, and all three are currently in my top twenty films of the year.

Who could win? I think it should be Up.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? All five of these films are eligible to compete at the Oscars, and all should have a very good shot there.

Golden Globe Nominees: Best Foreign Film

My predictions: 3/5, missing “Baaria” and “The Maid”
Who’s missing: “Coco Before Chanel,” “I Killed My Mother,” many others

I’ve seen three of these films, and they’re all terrific, so I’m generally pleased. Broken Embraces is one of Pedro Almodovar’s best films, and both A Prophet and The White Ribbon are fantastic, and make sure to see them when they come out (February and December 30th, respectively). I haven’t heard much about the other two, The Maid and Baaria, other than the fact that “The Maid” is currently playing at the Village East Cinema in New York City and that “Baaria” isn’t currently slated for U.S. release. Basically, see any of the movies in this category that you can get your hands on – they’re pretty great.

Who could win? I imagine The White Ribbon will take this.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? Both “The Maid” and “Broken Embraces” were not selected by their countries as their official Oscar submissions, so forget about them. The other three are in good shape, though many are suggesting that “A Prophet” will miss out based on its violent nature, just like “Gomorra” last year. We’ll see.

Golden Globe Nominees: Best Original Song

My predictions: 3/5, missing the tunes from “Avatar” and “Everybody’s Fine”
Who’s missing: Songs from “The Princess and the Frog,” “Where the Wild Things Are,” and “Hannah Montana” (if you consider that a surprise)

I just listened to all of these songs on YouTube to really get a taste for them, and I’m still partial to the two from films I’ve seen, partially because of the way they were used in those films (both music films). Cinema Italiano (Nine) is one of the only original tracks from the film, and though it has its detractors, Kate Hudson does such a terrific job of singing it that it’s hard to completely hate it. The Weary Kind (Crazy Heart) is my absolute favorite, and coupled with Jeff Bridges’ lead performance, it’s really spectacular. I’m not as enthusiastic about the others, which include Winter (Brothers), I Want to Come Home (Everybody’s Fine), and I See You (Avatar). What do you think of these nominees? Search for them on YouTube and have a listen for yourself.

Who could win? Maybe U2 for “Winter,” but I’ll stick with The Weary Kind.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? All five of these songs are eligible at the Oscars, though maybe I shouldn’t root for “The Weary Kind” since the past five winners (!) of this category haven’t gone on to get nominated for an Oscar.

Golden Globe Nominees: Best Original Score

My predictions: 2/5, predicting “Avatar” and “Up
Who’s missing: “Invictus,” “The Lovely Bones,” “A Serious Man,” “Up in the Air

This is quite an interesting list. I’m most ecstatic about the inclusion of A Single Man, which along with Carter Burwell’s score for “A Serious Man,” was easily the best soundtrack of the year. I’m so happy it made it here, and if the film can’t manage a Best Picture nomination, at least this should recognize some of what made it so incredible. I have yet to see Avatar so I’m waiting to hear the music until I actually watch the film. The Informant! is a fun choice, and the music from Up is also wonderful. The intriguing fifth nominee is Where the Wild Things Are, which had quite an imaginative soundtrack, though I have some trouble differentiating song from score with the tracks from that film. Otherwise, this is a solid and cool list.

Who could win? I’ll be hopeful and say A Single Man.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? Not much necessarily, especially because past nominees like “The Fountain” didn’t go on to get nominated for Oscars, but this cements the status of “Avatar” and “Up” while giving a helpful nudge to the other three.

Golden Globe Nominees: Best Screenplay – Motion Picture

My predictions: 1/5, predicting only “Up in the Air
Who’s missing: “An Education,” “Invictus,” “Julie & Julia,” “The Last Station,” “Precious,” “A Serious Man

Quite unexpectedly, this was my worst category this year, but I’m rather pleased with some of the surprise inclusions. This category was announced before the Best Director and Best Picture fields, so when I heard the first film, District 9, I got really excited. It turns out this was the only mention for the film, but it’s still pretty darn exciting. Also fantastic is the love for Inglorious Basterds, which did extremely well today. The Hurt Locker and Up in the Air are now cemented as the Best Picture frontrunners, especially as expected nominees “Invictus” and “A Serious Man” missed out both here and in the Best Picture races. The fifth nominee is more of a surprise, since it’s for the other Meryl Streep film, It’s Complicated. It doesn’t mean much, and probably won’t win. It’s also worth noting the snub of “Precious” here, which did manage to get a Best Picture nod despite no screenplay or director mention.

Who could win? I don’t know, maybe Up in the Air?
What does this mean for the Oscar race? It’s helpful for “District 9,” but otherwise it doesn’t say much since the Oscar categories can hold twice as many nominees, and “It’s Complicated” probably won’t be one of them.

Golden Globe Nominees: Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

My predictions: 4/5, missing Farmiga
Who’s missing: No one

I opted for the wrong film to have a second nominee, thinking that voters would prefer “Precious” to “Up in the Air,” though that’s clearly not the case. This list is probably going to translate exactly to the Oscar lineup, unless Samantha Morton (The Messenger) can build up enough momentum by that point. Anna Kendrick (Up in the Air) and Mo’Nique (Precious) are safest, and Penelope Cruz (Nine) is also pretty secure. It now appears that both Julianne Moore (A Single Man) and Vera Farmiga (Up in the Air) are also probable contenders, which is great since they were both terrific. There’s not much more to say about this list, other than that it was pretty expected.

Who could win? Maybe Mo’Nique or Kendrick, but I’ll go with Cruz.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? It just means that all five of these ladies have a great chance.

Golden Globe Nominees: Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

My predictions: 3/5, missing Harrelson and Tucci (wrong film)
Who’s missing: Alfred Molina (An Education)

The actor who is most glaringly absent from this category is Alfred Molina, whose film was shut out in all categories except that of lead actress, which worries me. Fortunately, the actor in his slot who was a good bet to earn a Golden Globe nomination is Woody Harrelson (The Messenger), who turned in a fine performance in that film and a funny one in “Zombieland” this year and deserves credit for that. My gamble on which film Stanley Tucci would be nominated for turned out to be wrong, with the otherwise snubbed film, “The Lovely Bones,” providing his citation instead of Best Picture nominee “Julie & Julia.” Matt Damon (Invictus) and Christopher Plummer (The Last Station) managed to get in here with the help of their lead performers being nominated and despite their films being snubbed for Best Picture. And then there’s Christoph Waltz (Inglorious Basterds), the biggest lock of all time and also the Best Supporting Actor of the year.

Who could win? I think it’s got to be Waltz.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? Consider this a huge blow for Molina, who may now be out because this could easily be the eventual Oscar lineup. It’s also a very good sign for both Harrelson and Plummer.

Golden Globe Nominees: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical

My predictions: 4/5, missing Roberts
Who’s missing: Amy Adams (Julie & Julia)

This category officially boasts the biggest surprise of the Golden Globes this year: Julia Roberts (Duplicity). Personally, I’m thrilled since I loved the film and, though I wish Clive Owen was nominated also, Roberts did a great job and had a lot of fun. It’s exactly what this category calls for. Both Sandra Bullock (The Proposal) and Meryl Streep (It’s Complicated and Julie & Julia) are double nominees this year, with Bullock earning a nomination in the corresponding drama category as well. And then there’s Marion Cotillard (Nine), who won this category two years ago for “La Vie en Rose” and whose film did well with the Globes this year, earning the second-most nominations of any film. This is certainly a fun category.

Who could win? Keep in mind that two nominations in one category doesn’t mean that a performer can’t win, so I think that Meryl Streep will clinch it for her portrayal of Julia Child.
What does this mean for the Oscar race? Zilch. Streep is still in for “Julie & Julia,” while Cotillard probably still won’t get nominated.

Golden Globe Nominees: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical

My predictions: 3/5, missing Downey Jr. and Gordon-Levitt
Who’s missing: Bradley Cooper (The Hangover)

I suppose I was foolish to fill the two unknown slots with arguably supporting contenders Alec Baldwin (It’s Complicated) and George Clooney (The Men Who Stare At Goats). Instead, they’re replaced with two expected candidates, Robert Downey Jr. (Sherlock Holmes) and Joseph Gordon-Levitt (500 Days of Summer). The latter film played better than I had anticipated, and while “The Hangover” also scored a Best Picture nod, its star Bradley Cooper couldn’t break in here. That’s because of the other three locks in this category: Matt Damon (The Informant!), Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine), and Michael Stuhlbarg (A Serious Man). One of the most puzzling and surprising things about the Golden Globes this year is that Stuhlbarg made it in but his film got snubbed in the Best Picture category (read that post later), but good for him!

Who could win? Given the popularity of his film, it will probably be .
What does this mean for the Oscar race? Neither of the nominees I didn’t predict will get Oscar nominations. Only Day-Lewis and Stuhlbarg are legitimate Oscar contenders, and I still think they’ll be tossed aside in favor of love elsewhere for their films.