Last year’s nominees: Biutiful, Dogtooth, In a Better World, Incendies, Outside the Law
This year’s contenders: A Separation (Iran), Pina (Germany), Footnote (Israel), Monsieur Lazhar (Canada), In Darkness (Poland), Omar Killed Me (Morocco), Superclasico (Denmark), Bullhead (Belgium), Warriors of the Rainbow: Seediq Bale (Taiwan)
The rundown: This category has already been winnowed down to nine finalists, leaving considerably less suspense than in other categories. Last year, I correctly predicted five out of five nominees, and this year I feel considerably less qualified to do so, having seen a grand total of zero films, though I’m planning to see “A Separation” tonight after two failed attempts in the past few weeks. The Golden Globe winner is the surest lock, and the rest of the list is up for grabs given that the other Globe-nominated film that was eligible, “Flowers of War,” has already missed the cut. “Pina” is eligible both here and in the documentary category, and should do well here, as should Israel’s “Footnote.” I’m completely unsure about the rest, and in most cases going purely off of the titles and whether it would be conceivable that they could actually become Oscar-nominated films. If you’ve seen anything of the films, please offer insight in the comments below.
Forecasted winner: “A Separation”